New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Odds & Key Players: September 7, 2025 MLB Game Preview

Sunday, September 7th, 2025

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: Series Finale Showdown at Great American Ball Park

The New York Mets (76-66, second in the NL East) face off against the Cincinnati Reds (71-71, third in the NL Central) in the final game of a three-game set at Great American Ball Park. With the series tied at one game apiece, both teams have everything to play for as the MLB postseason race heats up.

Game Details and Pitching Matchup

First pitch is scheduled for Sunday at 1:40 p.m. EDT. The Mets will send Brandon Sproat (0-0) to the mound, looking to make an impression in his outing. The Reds counter with Hunter Greene (5-4), who boasts a stellar 2.70 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, and 101 strikeouts so far this season.

In terms of betting odds, the Reds are slight favorites at -124, while the Mets are listed at +104. The over/under is set for 8.5 runs, reflecting expectations of an exciting offensive contest.

Weather

Today at Great American Ball Park, expect warm and pleasant baseball weather with a high near 82°F under mostly sunny skies. There’s little chance of precipitation, and winds will be light out of the southwest around 5-10 mph—ideal conditions for both players and fans.

Team Performance and Season Series

Cincinnati has posted a 39-34 record at home and sits at an even 71-71 overall. When the Reds hit at least two home runs in a game, they are a dominant 29-10. They lead the season series against the Mets 3-2 heading into this finale.

The Mets hold a 31-39 record on the road and 76-66 overall. New York’s lineup is one of the best in the National League when it comes to power, ranking third with a collective .432 slugging percentage.

Key Players to Watch

For Cincinnati, Elly De La Cruz has provided a power boost with 19 home runs and a .444 slugging percentage. Austin Hays has also delivered, going 9 for 38 with four homers and 10 RBI over his last 10 games.

The Mets counter with Juan Soto, who leads the team with 37 home runs and a .523 slugging percentage. Brandon Nimmo has been hot at the plate, collecting 16 hits—including four doubles and two home runs—and nine RBI in his past 10 outings.

Recent Performance

Over the last ten games, the Reds have gone 3-7 with a .269 team batting average and a 5.76 team ERA, being outscored by 12 runs. The Mets are an even 5-5 in their last ten with a .299 batting average and a 5.32 ERA, outscoring opponents by nine runs during that stretch.

Injury Report

Reds: Graham Ashcraft (forearm), Ian Gibaut (shoulder), Chase Burns (elbow), Wade Miley (flexor), Rhett Lowder (forearm), Carson Spiers (shoulder), Tyler Callihan (forearm), Brandon Williamson (elbow), Julian Aguiar (elbow) are all currently on the injured list.

Mets: Tyrone Taylor (hamstring), Reed Garrett (elbow), Frankie Montas (elbow), Jesse Winker (back), Max Kranick (elbow), Dedniel Nunez (elbow), Tylor Megill (elbow), Griffin Canning (achilles), Jose Siri (shin), Danny Young (elbow), A.J. Minter (lat), Nick Madrigal (shoulder), Drew Smith (elbow), Christian Scott (elbow) are currently sidelined.

In summary

The New York Mets and Cincinnati Reds wrap up a pivotal series with both teams eyeing momentum in the playoff chase. With standout pitching, big bats, and near-perfect weather, fans can expect a hard-fought, entertaining showdown at Great American Ball Park. Stay tuned for updates as the outcome of this game could shape the trajectory for both clubs as the season heads down the stretch.

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