New York Mets vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, Odds & Preview: MLB Game on September 5, 2025

Friday, September 5th, 2025

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: Key Matchup at Great American Ball Park

The New York Mets (75-65, second in the NL East) visit the Cincinnati Reds (70-70, third in the NL Central) to start a crucial three-game MLB series at Great American Ball Park on September 5, 2025, at 6:40 p.m. EDT. With postseason positioning on the line for both teams, this matchup offers high stakes and plenty of storylines for baseball fans.

Pitching Probables

The Mets will send David Peterson (8-5, 3.61 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 136 strikeouts) to the mound, looking to build on his strong season. The Reds counter with Andrew Abbott (8-5, 2.65 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 125 strikeouts), who has emerged as a standout in Cincinnati’s rotation.

The odds favor the Mets at -127 with the Reds at +106. The over/under is set at 9 runs, hinting at the potential for offensive fireworks.

Team Performance and Standings

Cincinnati holds a 38-33 record at home and relies on their power, ranking tenth in the National League with 138 home runs. The Reds will need their offense to break out if they hope to keep pace in the tightly contested NL Central.

The Mets, currently 30-38 on the road, have been propelled by a team .330 on-base percentage—second best in the NL. As they chase a playoff spot, every win is critical in the closing month of the season.

This will be the fourth meeting between the Mets and Reds this year, adding an extra layer of familiarity to Friday’s showdown.

Top Players to Watch

For the Reds, Elly De La Cruz continues to impress with 28 doubles, seven triples, 19 home runs, and 78 RBIs. Austin Hays has also been productive, going 11-for-38 with three homers and 10 RBIs in his last 10 games.

The Mets feature Juan Soto (16 doubles, one triple, 37 home runs, .259 average) and Pete Alonso, who’s 18-for-45 with four home runs in his last 10 games, continuing to be a force in the lineup.

Recent Team Trends

In their last 10 games, the Reds have posted a 3-7 record, batting .262 with a 5.63 ERA and have been outscored by 16 runs. The Mets are 6-4 in their last 10, put up a .316 batting average, a 5.06 ERA, and have outscored opponents by 22 runs—a significant positive trend as they enter the series.

Injury Updates

Reds Injuries: Notable on the IL are Nick Lodolo (day-to-day, illness), Graham Ashcraft (15-Day IL, forearm), Ian Gibaut (60-Day IL, shoulder), Tyler Stephenson (10-Day IL, thumb), Chase Burns (15-Day IL, elbow), Wade Miley (60-Day IL, flexor), Rhett Lowder (60-Day IL, forearm), Carson Spiers (60-Day IL, shoulder), Tyler Callihan (60-Day IL, forearm), Brandon Williamson (60-Day IL, elbow), Julian Aguiar (60-Day IL, elbow).

Mets Injuries: Tyrone Taylor (10-Day IL, hamstring), Reed Garrett (15-Day IL, elbow), Frankie Montas (60-Day IL, elbow), Francisco Alvarez (10-Day IL, thumb), Jesse Winker (60-Day IL, back), Max Kranick (60-Day IL, elbow), Dedniel Nunez (60-Day IL, elbow), Tylor Megill (60-Day IL, elbow), Griffin Canning (60-Day IL, achilles), Jose Siri (60-Day IL, shin), Danny Young (60-Day IL, elbow), A.J. Minter (60-Day IL, lat), Nick Madrigal (60-Day IL, shoulder), Drew Smith (60-Day IL, elbow), Christian Scott (60-Day IL, elbow).

Weather

Today at Great American Ball Park, expect mild early September baseball weather with temperatures around the mid-70s, mostly clear skies, and no significant chance of precipitation. Winds will be light at 5-10 mph, providing ideal conditions for both pitchers and hitters without significant impact on fly balls.

In summary

The New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds series opener is set for a pivotal evening matchup in Cincinnati. With New York’s Mets fighting for a playoff spot in the NL East and the Cincinnati Reds aiming to stay in the NL Central race, fans can expect an exciting clash featuring strong pitching performances from David Peterson and Andrew Abbott. The weather promises ideal conditions, and both teams will look to capitalize on their strengths. Keep an eye on key players like Elly De La Cruz, Juan Soto, and Pete Alonso as they aim to lead their clubs to victory. Injury lists remain a factor for both sides, but both lineups have the offensive firepower and depth to make for a compelling MLB showdown.

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