New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: Series Decider in NL East Showdown – Game Preview, Odds & Pitching Matchup (Sept. 28, 2025)

Sunday, September 28th, 2025

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: Series Decider at loanDepot park

The New York Mets (83-78, second in the NL East) face off against the Miami Marlins (78-83, third in the NL East) on Sunday at 3:10 p.m. EDT with the three-game series up for grabs. Both teams are eager to secure the series win in this tightly contested NL East matchup.

Pitching Matchup

The Mets will start southpaw Sean Manaea (2-4, 5.80 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 72 strikeouts) while the Marlins counter with Edward Cabrera (7-7, 3.66 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 143 strikeouts). Cabrera's strong strikeout numbers will match up against a Mets offense that has displayed solid power throughout the season.

Team Trends and Standings

Miami holds a 37-43 record at home and has posted a 78-83 overall mark this season. When the Marlins hit at least two home runs, they are 26-13, proving their offense can be explosive under the right conditions.

The Mets have struggled on the road with a 34-46 record, but their overall mark of 83-78 keeps them in the hunt for postseason action. Notably, New York boasts the fifth-highest slugging percentage in the National League at .428, making them a persistent threat at the plate.

Head-to-Head and Series Notes

This game marks the 13th meeting between New York and Miami this season, with the season series locked at 6-6. The outcome of this matchup will determine which team comes out on top for the year.

Top Performers

Juan Soto has been a major force for the Mets with 20 doubles, a triple, and 43 home runs. Pete Alonso has been impressive over his last 10 games, posting 13 hits in 38 at-bats, including four doubles and three home runs.

Recent Form

Over their last 10 games, the Marlins are 7-3, with a .254 team batting average and a 3.87 ERA, maintaining an even run differential. The Mets are 5-5 during that span, hitting .249 as a team with a 4.30 ERA and outscoring their opponents by four runs.

Injury Report

Marlins: Dane Myers (knee), Anthony Bender (tibia), Tyler Zuber (lat), Ryan Gusto (shoulder), Kyle Stowers (oblique), Jesus Tinoco (forearm), Max Meyer (hip), Andrew Nardi (back), and Braxton Garrett (elbow) are currently sidelined.

Mets: Brett Baty (oblique), Reed Garrett (elbow), Frankie Montas (elbow), Jesse Winker (back), Max Kranick (elbow), Dedniel Nunez (elbow), Tylor Megill (elbow), Griffin Canning (achilles), Danny Young (elbow), A.J. Minter (lat), Nick Madrigal (shoulder), Drew Smith (elbow), and Christian Scott (elbow) are on the injured list.

Weather

At loanDepot park today, expect warm conditions with temperatures in the mid-80s, mostly sunny skies, and no significant chance of precipitation. Winds will be light, making for ideal baseball weather. Fans and players should enjoy a pleasant day at the ballpark.

In summary

The decisive game between the Mets and Marlins wraps up a closely fought season series, with playoff implications and individual performances in the spotlight. Sean Manaea and Edward Cabrera will look to set the tone for their respective squads, while sluggers Juan Soto and Pete Alonso aim to power the Mets’ offense. Expect favorable conditions for an exciting afternoon of baseball in Miami, as both teams battle for divisional pride and late-season momentum.

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