Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Prediction: Series Finale (June 29, 2025)

Sunday, June 29th, 2025

The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox are set to face off on Sunday, June 29, 2025, in the rubber match of their three-game series at Fenway Park.

First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. EDT in Boston. The Blue Jays currently hold a 6-3 lead in the season series against the Red Sox.

Pitching Matchup

The Blue Jays will send left-hander Eric Lauer to the mound. Lauer holds a 4-1 record with a strong 2.21 ERA. In his starts, he has posted a 1.01 WHIP and recorded 41 strikeouts.

Opposing Lauer for the Red Sox will be right-hander Walker Buehler. Buehler enters the game with a 5-5 record and a 6.29 ERA. His WHIP is 1.57, and he has tallied 56 strikeouts on the season.

Team Statistics and Form

Toronto comes into the game with an overall record of 44-38, placing them third in the AL East. On the road, the Blue Jays are 19-22. They boast the second-ranked team batting average in the American League at .256.

Boston's overall record stands at 41-43, good for fourth place in the AL East. The Red Sox have been better at home, going 23-18 at Fenway Park. They have a 28-14 record in games where they accumulate eight or more hits.

Looking at recent performance, the Blue Jays have a 5-5 record over their last 10 games, posting a .272 batting average and a 4.25 ERA, outscoring opponents by five runs.

The Red Sox have struggled recently, going 3-7 in their last 10 contests. During this span, they have a .221 batting average and a 4.55 ERA, having been outscored by 12 runs.

Key Players to Watch

For the Red Sox, outfielder Jarren Duran has been a key contributor, hitting 20 doubles, eight triples, and five home runs this season. Infielder Trevor Story has shown recent form, going 9 for 36 with a double and two home runs over his last 10 games.

Blue Jays first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the team with 11 home runs and holds a .443 slugging percentage. Utility player Ernie Clement has been hot over the last 10 games, batting 14 for 37 with two doubles and three RBI.

Betting Information

According to the current odds, the Toronto Blue Jays are favored at -123, while the Boston Red Sox are listed at +103. The over/under for the game is set at 9 1/2 runs.

Injury Report

Red Sox Injuries:

Justin Slaten (shoulder) - 60-Day IL

Luis Guerrero (elbow) - 15-Day IL

Hunter Dobbins (elbow) - 15-Day IL

Jordan Hicks (toe) - 15-Day IL

Josh Winckowski (elbow) - 60-Day IL

Nick Burdi (knee) - 15-Day IL

Liam Hendriks (hip) - 15-Day IL

Alex Bregman (quadricep) - 10-Day IL

Triston Casas (knee) - 60-Day IL

Masataka Yoshida (shoulder) - 60-Day IL

Kutter Crawford (knee) - 60-Day IL

Tanner Houck (flexor) - 15-Day IL

Patrick Sandoval (elbow) - 60-Day IL

Blue Jays Injuries:

Bowden Francis (shoulder) - 15-Day IL

Daulton Varsho (hamstring) - 10-Day IL

Anthony Santander (shoulder) - 10-Day IL

Yimi Garcia (shoulder) - 15-Day IL

Ryan Burr (shoulder) - 60-Day IL

Alek Manoah (elbow) - 60-Day IL

Angel Bastardo (elbow) - 60-Day IL

In summary

The Toronto Blue Jays (44-38) visit the Boston Red Sox (41-43) on Sunday, June 29, 2025, at 1:35 PM EDT to decide their three-game series. Blue Jays starter Eric Lauer (4-1, 2.21 ERA) faces Red Sox starter Walker Buehler (5-5, 6.29 ERA). Toronto leads the season series 6-3 and has a better road record (19-22) than Boston's home record (23-18) relative to their overall standings. The Blue Jays are performing better offensively over their last 10 games (.272 BA vs .221 BA) and hold a slight edge in ERA (4.25 vs 4.55). Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a key offensive threat for Toronto, while Jarren Duran and Trevor Story lead Boston. Both teams have significant injury lists impacting their rosters.

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